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China Melamine Raw Material Price Analysis In JUN.2025

Melamine Raw Material Price

1. China Melamine Raw Material Price Focus This Month

In June 2025, melamine exports were 56,900 tons, down 9.62% from the previous month; the average export price was US$750.00 per ton, down 1.49% from the previous month.

2. Melamine Market Analysis This Month

In June, the average spot price of melamine in China was 5,142 yuan/ton, down 5.01% from the previous month and 7.42% from the previous year. In the first half of the month, the domestic melamine market was mainly weak. Although some enterprises had equipment failures or short-term maintenance during the month, the capacity utilization rate continued to remain high. In addition, market demand was in the off-season in June, corporate sales were under pressure, and inventory continued to grow. Against the background of weak supply and demand, market prices continued to fall.

In the second half of the month, with the substantial increase in the price of raw material urea, the enthusiasm of downstream purchases increased significantly, the overall shipments of enterprises improved, and the inventory of some enterprises was digested. Secondly, a few enterprises also raised their quotations due to cost pressure.

However, the good times did not last long, and the positive factors were gradually consumed. Melamine returned to the market fundamentals, but the supply and demand relationship was not effectively improved. As the previous orders were shipped one after another, the new orders of enterprises were not well sold. Some enterprises, under the pressure of production and sales, reduced prices to attract orders, and the market finally ended with a price drop.

3. Analysis of Melamine Market Influencing Factors

In May, the domestic urea market was driven by exports and the impact of exports, and the market fluctuated downward.

Domestic demand is in the off-season, and downstream businesses are not willing to purchase, with sporadic and rigid demand being the main demand.

The monthly average capacity utilization rate of the melamine industry decreased compared with the previous month.

4. Market Forecast for Next Month

In July, the supply and demand relationship of melamine may not have improved significantly. The capacity utilization rate continued to remain high and the demand was flat. However, under the support of cost, the downward space of melamine market price was limited. We still need to pay attention to the start-up of various melamine plants under cost pressure. In July, melamine enterprises may flexibly adjust prices according to their own shipment situation.

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